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World Politics thread

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Erotic Adventures of S, Aug 1, 2017.

  1. Faun

    Faun Second Year

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    India cannot do anything more than shelling, crackdown in the valley and rhetoric. China makes everything on diplomatic and economic fronts redundant and India cannot afford escalation.
     
  2. vlad

    vlad Auror Prestige

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    The bright side for all the wrong reasons:

    The last time India and Pakistan tested nuclear weapons was 1998. The one thing worse from a nation's geopolitical point of view than detonating a nuclear bomb in a war would be launching a nuclear bomb and not having it detonate.

    Short of either facing existential pressure from the other, I'll worry about India/Pakistan getting involved in a nuclear conflict with one another if either (which inevitably means both) of them undergo another series of tests.
     
  3. Agni

    Agni Third Year

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    Ah...there is always the water card to play. The Indus river along with its five tributaries is the lifeline of Pakistan. There is an ever increasing call and indeed inclination to deprive Pakistan's most (read only) fertile province of water.

    Then there are other options as well. The 2001-02 military stand off cost India 3 billion dollars and Pakistan 1.5 billion dollars in just a few months. Considering that Pakistan currently has just 8 billion dollars of the foreign exchange, a similar stand off would cost around 3 billion dollars, thus effectively flushing Pakistan down the economic commode.
     
  4. Faun

    Faun Second Year

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    It will be hard to cut off Pakistan's water supply. India doesn't have the infrastructure to divert all the water in the Indus basin. It will be a long term project In the short term, India can easily restrict water flow during the summer, but a normal monsoon will force us to release water.

    Mobilising the armed forces can easily escalate into a full blown war, it's more likely that the armed forces will act only when they have credible actionable intelligence. Restricting any potential conflict to the area around the LoC is in our best interest.
     
  5. Agni

    Agni Third Year

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    Yes, that is true. A sudden release of dammed water during the monsoon will do wonders downstream.
    The escalation is always a real possibility; but both the states have indulged in brinkmanship twice after 2000 without going all out. Doing it again would be a matter of taking a calculated risk.
     
  6. Faun

    Faun Second Year

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    Punjab is downstream. Pakistan might be willing to to employ self-destructive tactics, India wouldn't.
    Mass mobilisation will satisfy the armchair warmongers, but a more measured and precise action will serve us better.
     
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