Oh fuck it, typing like roleplay sucks and nobody wants to play along.

Look. I posted this the last time. We don't gain nearly enough of anything to be lynching on the first day. A Death Eater would want you all to lynch because none of you will choose a Death Eater, especially since the Death Eaters can influence the votes. There are 4 Death Eaters out of a pool of 25, the chances of hitting a Death Eater with a random lynch is around 16%. In other words, we have an 84% to hit somebody who is not a Death Eater.

You might say that's pretty much the same for tomorrow too. But there's also something else we'll have tomorrow that we won't have today.

An Auror report.

If we lynch today we'll be down to 22 people, then 19 most likely. But if we don't lynch today, we'll be down to 23 people, then 20 people tomorrow when we lynch.

This is, quite literally, the most basic of strategy.

I'll explain another fact, about the Auror not coming out until he has a guilty investigation, because I saw somebody mention Auror lurking as being a Lion or something.

That is one of the most inappropriate comparison I have ever seen made. Lion lurked because he was an idiot who couldn't be bothered to play, not an active Auror who just so happens to not be pointing his head out and saying to the Sorcerer, "Hey, I'm really the only risky factor in this game (this applies to Hit Wizard too), block me, block me!"

So, that is why the Auror shouldn't come out until he has a guilty, because then that would guarantee us at least one Death Eater.

And here's another thing to consider. If it just so happens that the Death Eater that was guilty is the Sorcerer, then the Death Eater would have to counter-claim the Auror, since if they don't counter-claim, we know that the Auror is legit and can immediately lynch the Sorcerer.

Now why specifically the Sorcerer? Well, it's because the Sorcerer is the only role-blocker, if the Death Eaters let the Sorcerer be lynched and the Auror un-cc (not counter-claimed), then the Healer would and should protect the Auror.

Then it's just a waiting game of finding the rest of the guilty Death Eaters.

And you know what else? If they counter-claim, the Auror is safe even without the Healer. Since, if the Death Eaters kill the real Auror, we would immediately know and now we'll have two Death Eaters confirmed.

This is the other very basic strategy.


Why am I typing so much?

Because I was very frustrated at the disgusting level of play the last time, and this time I don't see any change at all, except now it's all lynch lynch lynch, with the flimsiest of excuse used.

Somebody typing in a style not normally used? Fucking suspicious lynch him!

Yeah, like that's how the Death Eaters talked last time.

Fuck, I'm going to sleep, and when I wake up, I'll most likely be lynched, but there's no helping it then. The above two strategy is my contribution to the town since I probably won't be able to post after this, and I hope you guys actually think about what the Death Eaters would do and not jump on ridiculous things.


Abstain

 

Vote Player: Ratstsrub

 

Sorry. I guess I made a mistake. Oh well I'll revote:

Vote player: ratstsrub

 

Taure and Ratstsrub are both pretty suspicious, but in Taure perhaps it can be explained by his pompous nature.

Ratstsrub has supported a methodology that doomed another village, so I think it is best if he is eliminated at this point, if only because indecisiveness on our part will doom this village as well.

Vote Player: Ratstsrub

 

That's the problem: No it wasn't. They did everything possible to try to avoid lynching.

Honestly, the whole "not writing in the usual style" thing is a decent indicator. Or, at least, it was last time.

 

The last post by Rats pushed him way over the top of the list, IMO. He's supporting a no-lynch philosophy with the beleif that tommorrow, the Auror will reveal himself. So either he's stupid, or he's mafia and wants to know who the Auror is. Either way it's best to get rid of him now.

Vote Player: Ratstsrub

 

Five more votes! People need to come out of the woodwork and stop lurking.

 

...It's like you can't read.

 

My thoughts on the high-profile people so far:

Taure - What the hell is going on with him? Unless this is some sort of roleplay mode he gets into it just feels weird as hell right now. The only explanation I can come up with so far is that he's trying to draw attention away from someone else. Of course, that begets the thought that Ashaya is a death eater again; which feels way too ironic to be likely to me.

Ratsrub - My stance on this guy is that he's either a very shitty death eater or an idiot. I go with the latter; I don't want to believe that the death eaters would be so obvious. But I'm probably overthinking. Even if he's not guilty he's pretty much causing us all trouble by abstaining from voting.

 

Bye, Rats. May The Immortal Emperor Merlin have mercy on your soul, because the Dementors will not.

 

@rat

If you say no lynch, then the Death Eaters have nothing to worry about. What if the Auror investigates someone who dies tomorrow. He can only investigate 1 person a night. 2 people, maybe 3 die a night. And of course, going by your logic on not lynching today, he is more likely to investigate an innocent. So do you say lets not lynch anyone, possibly for several days, until the Auror gets one guy? And then what?

Then, after he finds one Death Eater, he'll get killed (assuming the healer eventually get's contained) and then we'll be no where. Literally. That's a bad strategy. While we're here not lynching, there is no pressure and the Death Eaters stay hidden. Nothing is gained.

---------- Post automerged at 09:09 PM ---------- Previous post was at 09:07 PM ----------

Better to go for an 'idiot' who we know doesn't have a power role then randomly voting someone off who could possibly be a power role.

 

It is true I looked at this thread for a while. But I distract easily.

As for my Murder Board, my initial suspect is Hero of Stupidity. He did nothing to allay concerns that he was trying to abstain from lynching this round.

I believe that ratstsrub is a red herring. Perhaps a tad too earnest, and if there was a jester role in this game I'd suggest it was him.

Vote Player: Hero of Stupidity

 

This stinks as an attempt at causing a stall.

Congrats: you just beat Taure to the top of my list.

 

Rat will get us killed in the end, and while I have slight suspicion of HoS, I dont believe he is a Death Eater.

 

Meh. Tomorrow, if the votes are off by one, I'll switch mine to myself.

The only thing worse than voting an innocent off is not voting somebody who the town thinks is suspicious. That I can support, since next day people might split their votes again and that's just horrendous.

Forum play is peculiar I think. People really do think differently. Maybe when there are more games scum-slips will be caught and the meta-game developed a bit more.

Hell, maybe this will be a learning lesson of when somebody is really telling the truth. I doubt it, since people will rationalize the shit out of everything.

Thank goodness I'm not Auror and just a Wizard, or you guys would have really screwed yourself. This is the small blessing we have yeah.





But Auror, for goodness sake, do not come out until you have a guilty.

Hit Wizard, if you see a visit and the person you're watching dies, come out immediately. At the least it will be a 1:1 trade if they don't CC you, and if they do, then it might even be a 2:1 trade when the Auror confirms that your CC is guilty. (Most likely option will be that they don't CC you...so have the Healer be on you.)

 

I was suspicious of HoS at first but he's quickly fallen behind a whole hell of a lot of others. Rat and Taure are currently sitting at the top of my list, I say we kill Rat today and Taure tomorrow just to be on the safe side. Worst case scenario all we lose is someone who tries too hard and obnoxious roleplaying.

 

I'm not against abstaining from lynching but against bandwagoning. Although ratstsrub incredible performance made my argument obsolete.

However my idea was to discuss things in calmly manner, because the Death Eathers want us dead so by refraining from 'He posted first, he is a murderer' we could simply and rationally point out who is going to be lynched. I'm still undecided who I'm gonna vote for, but I have my ideas...

 

Oh - I fail at reading comprehension. I presumed it was like werewolf, where the player with the most votes automatically got lynched. In that case...

Rescind Vote.

Vote Player: ratstsrub

 

I say we vote for Rat because he's the easiest to vote off after all those posts of his, and I'm assuming that the auror will investigate Taure tonight - if no auror says anything, Taure's either dark lord or just trolling us all with his Role Playing.

Kensington: You just dropped several points down on my list. Congratulations.

 

Your first idea was to not do anything until the second day, which doesn't make any sense. Thats the reason you were suspected. You didn't say lets not bandwagon, you said wait until the second day when we have evidence (If I remember correctly, I didn't look back sorry if I'm wrong.)