I checked entire QT.

Lungs said this,

and this,

The thing was, that is meaningless for us. The research wasn't a problem for us. We Mystic Eye'ed the people we needed once we knew what was up. My issues with Research was for other players without an alliance who couldn't ever Research because they would get ruined if they got attacked.

On you running the next game, I do desire to help you in some way. I would like to see the rules get ironed out and be more balanced while allowing for extra things, like events if people are being stupid.

 

...So, are we going to at least see how long it would theoretically take before Gilgamesh gets lucky enough times, or are you actually just giving up already SmileOfTheKill?

I mean, it's not like it's explicitly over quite yet. :?

As far as the knowledge about being able to use multiple spells... well, I asked about it by around Night 3, but I guess my QT question was missed(twice) before it was answered in-thread on Day/Night 7 I think. Either way, the relatively unbalanced status of Gilgamesh aside, this was an interesting game anyway.

Kind of slow, due to several factors, but still interesting, and I wouldn't mind participating in the next round. Hopefully the rules will be made just a bit more clear. No offense to you, Lungs, it just wasn't quite as organized as it could have been.

Anyway, the game isn't actually over yet, so shouldn't we save this until Post-Game?

 

Oh, I do want Jon to do the math in this game. Make him work for ze victory. HOW MANY DAYS, HOW MANY DAYSSSS?!

 

I'm all for making it take a while, for the heck of it, but I'm pretty sure that we are supposed to go into Night anyway, since, you know, it's not like we are going to get a lynch.

 

Sorry, that stuff^ was at 2 and 3 am in the morning for me (I was asleep and stuff).

Does everyone agree for me to post the projected calc in here and basically end the game in the next 12 hours or so?

 

...such is life. The life of a Martyr is fraught with peril. I suppose that I must die to end the game as well. Once a martyr, always a martyr.:cry:

Still, those calculations had best imply that it would have taken Gilgamesh many many tries(probably close to or beyond a month) before finally defeating me. The way I see it, it would take at least thirteen Day Phases(and thirteen Night Phases technically), and that's if he succeeded on each try.

 

Lungs should totally check my QT...

 

Please hold.

Calculations are finished.

Someone filler for me. Also, post your last in-game comments?

 

DID MY PLAN WORK!!!!!

 

HOW MANY DAYS?

HOW MANY DAYS?

 

Okay.

Jon kills Fen.

Option 1: Ea only (safe)

12 days minimum, 21 days Gambler's Fallacy Addition, 27 days average, 39 days limit of probability.

Option 2: Ea and Enkidu variation

6 days minimum (Gambler's Fallacy Addition), 18 days average, 22 days limit of probability.

Option 3: Alliance, Ea and Enkidu

5 days minimum (Gambler's Fallacy Addition), 10 days average, 14 days limit of probability.

Notes: Ea and Enkidu in tandem present a somewhat dangerous route to Jon, who has 3 Command Seals at the moment (due to various events from the Gates of Babylon, etc) - Jon has a day gap on Enkidu activation which allows Fen to hit him on def with 37% chance of success. In roughly that percentage of the recalcs, Jon is dead by day 8, though Fen has barely any living spirit in him left.

Meanwhile, the addition of the alliance is a very luck-based move, which would have probably ended in the death of 1and1is3 due to the stacking nature of Arete - allowing it to overcome the divinity boost of Enkidu and stuff until the very last bit of the stack.