Nope

/10char

 

Not much point in alphabetized reads if they don't move you anywhere, tho.

 

Math time.

Each specific role has a 6/17 chance of being in scum hands. Therefore, the odds that scum have neither Gravedigger nor Apprentice is (11/17*11/17=121/289=.42).

The odds are that scum have one of the two roles, which means Gravedigger should claim.

---------- Post automerged at 10:56 PM ---------- Previous post was at 10:52 PM ----------

Looking at OP again, there are 18 non holy roles, which means there is actually a 144/324 = 4.4 chance of scum having neither role, which changes nothing in the general logic.

---------- Post automerged at 10:56 PM ---------- Previous post was at 10:56 PM ----------

By 4.4 I mean .44.

 

Fluff, shouldn't that be 17 non holy roles?

 

Reading over fonti/miner it feels like a RVS joke taken too far, I have a hard time believing fonti seriously thinks miner is a witch at this moment.

Is there any prior history I should be made aware of concerning the two of them?

 

Role list from OP:

1 Gravedigger
2 Apprentice
3 Oracle
4 Watchman
5 Inquisitor
6 Peeping Tom
7 Spiritualist
8 Survivalist
9 Gambler
10 Fanatic
11 Benevolent Old Dame
12 Nurse
13 Judge
14 Hunter
15 Dirty Old Bastard
16 Loose Cannon
17 Assassin

Huh, I miscounted the second time.

---------- Post automerged at 11:03 PM ---------- Previous post was at 11:02 PM ----------

Either way, my point stands.

 

Why are there 19 roles but 18 players?

 

Witches get an extra role.

---------- Post automerged at 11:06 PM ---------- Previous post was at 11:04 PM ----------

From Eido's OP:

 

You break my heart. ;_;

Wait, hold on a minute.

What the heck is going on here?

 

Oh yeah.

He wasn't caught right away in HP and I was not in it. Coincidence? I think not.

Seriously though, I'm pretty sure.

---------- Post automerged at 11:10 PM ---------- Previous post was at 11:10 PM ----------

I have literally never read him wrong.

 

His list is our names, alphabetized.

 

I mean you know I have to ask how many games that is.

 

I didn't even notice that. -.-

I'm obviously too tired for this game. Good night.

 

Uh, one scum game, one post in, 5-10 ish town games?

 

That's not really an impressive sample size....

 

Pregame ITT:

 

Really? How many games have you played with anyone in here?

 

I'm assuming we don't have to revote from pregame.

 

I feel like the best way to articulate the problem with Miner's thread entry is that he's trying to replicate mafia in-jokes and not at all getting the context/nuance right. Which feels like trying to fit in, awkwardly, which is a wolf thing a lot of the time.

Right? Same deal, ish. The response just doesn't... fit.

0% chance it's Miner/fonti/Vaimes here.

Feels like this should be able to tell me something about fonti/Miner/Rubicon teams but. I think I could see wolf!Rubicon saying this regardless of fonti and Miner's alignments? It's maaaaybe a little unlikely wolf!Rubicon says that in wolf!Miner/village!fonti worlds?

This is kinda what I mean when I talk about Miner lolcatting with words. Just like, omg so random interjections. Like, this is literally the type of shit people post after they've been redchecked and give up. It's not at all the same situation, but. It strikes a similar tonal note.

I mean, in town!Miner worlds what's he doing here? Putting the "random" in RVS?

---------- Post automerged at 09:06 PM ---------- Previous post was at 09:05 PM ----------

Strike that. Still wildly unlikely for it to be that, but what I meant to say was it's impossible for it to be fonti v Miner w Vaimes w. That's, like, never a response Vaimes makes to fonti catching his partner on post 2 or whatever.

 

Wanna bet some money on that?