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WitchHunt 9

Discussion in 'Little Italy' started by Miner, Mar 29, 2019.

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  1. Umami

    Umami Squib

    Joined:
    Dec 17, 2018
    Messages:
    5
     
  2. Gemma

    Gemma Sixth Year

    Joined:
    Nov 2, 2017
    Messages:
    172
    Votal 3.ToWantMe

    Kai (2): Newcomb, Umami
    shadow (1): Dels
     
  3. Manasi

    Manasi Squib

    Joined:
    Mar 12, 2018
    Messages:
    6
  4. Umami

    Umami Squib

    Joined:
    Dec 17, 2018
    Messages:
    5
    So random
    --- Post automerged ---
    love that song
    --- Post automerged ---
    @Manasi What's your claim?
     
  5. Cobalt

    Cobalt Third Year

    Joined:
    Aug 29, 2015
    Messages:
    90
    Gender:
    Male
  6. Newcomb

    Newcomb Minister of Magic

    Joined:
    Sep 28, 2013
    Messages:
    1,248
    Location:
    The Evergreen State
    On a theoretical level, I'm against Cobalt's plan. I think the downside of basically taking Angels out of the game doesn't outweigh the meager information we'd get out of it. If the Hunter is actually a witch /and/ manasi isn't a defensive role, it wins us the game, but in that scenario the witch!Hunter actually does just dome manasi last night. Or they fully out and shoot someone else. Shooting fonti + holstering their kill + using an IK or failed role kill on manasi gets them nothing. Nothing.

    99% of the time here, manasi's a defensive role and the Hunter actually did shoot her last night.

    On a practical level, nothing we do matters anymore so go for it.
     
  7. Cobalt

    Cobalt Third Year

    Joined:
    Aug 29, 2015
    Messages:
    90
    Gender:
    Male
    So, hesitant stamp of approval?
    --- Post automerged ---
    Doing things my way also lets us rule out an Umami world if we can confirm we're somewhere in 1-2, btw.

    Which I think is decently important.
     
  8. Newcomb

    Newcomb Minister of Magic

    Joined:
    Sep 28, 2013
    Messages:
    1,248
    Location:
    The Evergreen State
    No, I disapprove. I just don't care enough to stop you.
    Run me through that.
     
  9. Cobalt

    Cobalt Third Year

    Joined:
    Aug 29, 2015
    Messages:
    90
    Gender:
    Male
    @Newcomb



    A concrete assignment of Manasi's role (Fanatic, Gambler, Survivalist claims) allows us to potentially rule out worlds in which Tom is one of those roles.

    It's not a 100% certainty thing, but in the scenario where we end up in a concrete world from 1.a.i. to 2.c.ii. we can say that Umami is most likely telling us the truth and if he is then he's most likely a villager.
    --- Post automerged ---
    Some of the 3-4 worlds look similar to the 1-2 worlds but the end results are different. It's about getting to that last tier that finalizes which world we're in.
    --- Post automerged ---
    Plus, we are at a nearly unprecedented advantage in that we definitely know the identities of 3 out of 4 witches with 12 people still alive.

    Even on the extremely unlikely chance that Umami is a witch, we have the wiggle room to figure that out, even with last stand taking out 2 people per night with no angel protects due to role kills.

    Also, if we don't mass claim and only claim those three roles, there are still some roles that are protectable, though those people are in the PoE and probably not potential nightkills.
     
  10. Newcomb

    Newcomb Minister of Magic

    Joined:
    Sep 28, 2013
    Messages:
    1,248
    Location:
    The Evergreen State
    We already know that.

    90% confidence doesn't get us anything. For a plan like you're outlining to be good, you need to have 100% mechanical locks at the end of the chain. WH is kind of designed so that those plans aren't really possible. There's almost always some ambiguity.
    There are zero worlds where Umami gives us tom's alignment correctly but his role incorrectly.
     
  11. Manasi

    Manasi Squib

    Joined:
    Mar 12, 2018
    Messages:
    6
    [​IMG]
    --- Post automerged ---
    Harry's actually a death eater btw.
     
  12. Cobalt

    Cobalt Third Year

    Joined:
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    Gender:
    Male
    Keep em coming, Manasi.
    --- Post automerged ---
    @Newcomb - What do you propose as an alternative?

    I think getting Manasi's role is pretty important.
    --- Post automerged ---
    Honestly I'd be okay with just Gambler/Survivalist claiming just to make sure Newcomb isn't a witch.

    :v
     
  13. Newcomb

    Newcomb Minister of Magic

    Joined:
    Sep 28, 2013
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    1,248
    Location:
    The Evergreen State
    Jesus, fine. Hardclaim Gambler.

    Let's just leave it at that, do manasi, do shadow tomorrow, and reassess if that doesn't do it.

    Also, the actual Oracle should claim.

    Vote: manasi
     
  14. Cobalt

    Cobalt Third Year

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    Male
    (I don't think there is an actual Oracle, but if there is, they're probably town.)

    @Newcomb - your opinion on lynching one of Vaimes/Disquieted and allowing the other to yeet Manasi?
    --- Post automerged ---
    Also, if Shadow is exactly the loose cannon, him popping off on Manasi as a request is also ideal to narrow the PoE.
    --- Post automerged ---
    Honestly, if ANY of the PoE wants to loose cannon Manasi I'd be okay with that.
     
  15. Newcomb

    Newcomb Minister of Magic

    Joined:
    Sep 28, 2013
    Messages:
    1,248
    Location:
    The Evergreen State
    Already said. Don't like plans that point KP at people you think are town. What would this actually be getting us?

    If shadow's exactly the LC though yeah for sure, fire away on manasi.
     
  16. Manasi

    Manasi Squib

    Joined:
    Mar 12, 2018
    Messages:
    6
    I will not be claiming throughout the duration of this day phase!
     
  17. Cobalt

    Cobalt Third Year

    Joined:
    Aug 29, 2015
    Messages:
    90
    Gender:
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    @shadowlancerx

    If you are the LC, pop off on Manasi please.

    You're not green checked anymore, sorry. I still think you're town though. :v
    --- Post automerged ---
    What if we say please?
     
  18. Manasi

    Manasi Squib

    Joined:
    Mar 12, 2018
    Messages:
    6
    Throwback to when I learned the t in Voldemort was silent.

    I hate the French.

    VOLDE MORRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR
    --- Post automerged ---
    I will not be responding to anybody's posts directly as to suggest their alignment can be determined by their interactions with me.
     
  19. Cobalt

    Cobalt Third Year

    Joined:
    Aug 29, 2015
    Messages:
    90
    Gender:
    Male
    Cobalt
    Muzjik
    Newcomb

    Vaimes
    Disquieted

    Umami
    Shadow

    Dels
    Kai
    M Plus 7
    Fluff

    Manasi

    If any of Shadow/Dels/Kai/MP7/Fluff are the LC I'd appreciate a Manasi pop.

    @shadowlancerx
    @Dels
    @KaiDASH
    @M Plus 7
    @his fluffiness

    Helps us win faster even if you're town. Thx.
    --- Post automerged ---
    Ooh, so we get openwolf Manasi instead of you locked into anti-spew?

    That's even more fun.

    I hope your team enjoyed that slam dunk of me claiming your thrown out role.
     
  20. Manasi

    Manasi Squib

    Joined:
    Mar 12, 2018
    Messages:
    6
    Funnily enough these two weeksended up being insanely difficult weeks for me to exist.

    Work was hell, I was a sad boy, everythnig was A MESS.
    --- Post automerged ---
    You should probably show pity for me and not kill me.
     
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