I'm gonna go write up a post of closing thoughts in the event of my increasingly likely death, as well as for consideration by Moridin in the event of his similarly likely death.

---------- Post automerged at 19:34 ---------- Previous post was at 18:55 ----------

If Lucky survives a normal lynch:

• Luckylee is confirmed as Witch Survivalist.
• Bill Door almost has to be Witch Apprentice. (If he isn't, he still has to be a Witch, and Apprentice still has to be a Witch.)

Moridin should kill Luckylee-Survivalist, followed by his choice of people in order of scumminess according to him. If one of his kills fails, that has to be the Witch. Obviously, he shouldn't kill everyone, as that is a Witch win. When he stops, he should always leave an odd number of players.

If Luckylee dies to a normal lynch:

• Luckylee is presumably Witch Apprentice.
• The Witch Survivalist is still out there, hiding behind Bill Door's role. This has to be font, Vira, or me.
• Bill Door could be a Witch, or not. If not, the 3rd Witch is also out there. They are probably telling the truth about their role; it is very hard to construct alternatives.

Moridin should kill font, Vira, and optionally me, according to our stated claims in order of scumminess according to him. He should try to leave an odd number of people.

If Zeit claims there is now one Witch left:

Either Bill Door was a Witch, or Zeit is. After the 3 players listed above are gone (including me), Zeit should be killed if the game is still going.

Following this info, Moridin should add Zeit to the kill list started above, and always include me.

If Zeit claims there is more than one Witch left:

This is a little more tricky. Lynch font, Vira, or me. Ideally, Dermon should do it; we are looking for the Survivalist, after all.

If they die, see what Zeit's story is Day 6.

Following each stage of info, Moridin has to judge both me and Zeit for himself. He should also be considering killing blab, but always leaving an odd number of players.

Remember, even if you prove who the Survivalist is or isn't, the other candidates could still be the last Witch in this world.

Once you start looking for the last Witch, kill Prophylaxis-DOB as the last lynch of the game. He can take out whoever the other threat is, as a free 2-for-1. There is no downside to this option.

If Luckylee dies to a judge lynch:

We mostly behave the same as if he died to a normal lynch. We hope he was Survivalist, but have no way of knowing and proceed in the worst-case scenario.

Most of the Zeit protocol still applies verbatim.

My Personal Witch Reads:

Rubicon - 100%
Luckylee - 100%

Bill Door - 60%

fontisian - 55%
Vira - 35%
blab - 20%
Dermon - 15%
Prophylaxis - 10%
Zetigeist - 5%

Alright, I need to go soon but I can die happy now.

I'll try to look at blab's breakdowns before I leave.

---------- Post automerged at 19:36 ---------- Previous post was at 19:34 ----------

Just to be clear, when I say "Moridin should kill..." I mean "If/When Moridin is night killed, he should kill..."

Don't try any intentionally-lynching-Moridin plans unless somehow there is no other way. (This should never be the case.)

---------- Post automerged at 19:45 ---------- Previous post was at 19:36 ----------

Since it wasn't on a newline:

vote Luckylee

 

Current Vote Total:

Luckylee (4): blab (#876), Vira (#877), Dermon (#879), Chocolate Pi (#881)
Dermon (3): Luckylee (#700), Zeitgeist (#707), Prophylaxis (#790)

Abstaining: Fontisian, Moridin

It requires 5 to lynch, 6 to auto-hammer.

As always, updated information can be found in the status document.

1 hour and 6 minutes remain

=-=-=-=-=-=

Fontisian voted Zeitgeist (#662)
Fontisian unvoted Zeitgeist (#669)
Chocolate Pi voted Dermon (#692)
Vira voted Dermon (#695)
Luckylee voted Dermon (#700)
Zeitgeist voted Dermon (#707)
Prophylaxis voted Dermon (#790)
Chocolate Pi unvoted Dermon (#807)
Blab voted Luckylee (#876)
Vira voted Luckylee (#877) | Previous Target: Dermon
Dermon voted Luckylee (#879)
Chocolate Pi voted Luckylee (#881)

 

so apparently judge lynch. Eh, ok, even optimal in town!Dermon worlds. Still vote Lucky if you can.

 

Unvote

Lynch Vote Luckylee

You lose, mongrels.

The day is over~

 

Day is over!

Luckylee has been lynched and did NOT die.

edit: 24 hour night timer: http://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/generic?iso=20140111T13&p0=47&msg=DLP+WH3+NIGHT+FOUR+END

End of Day Vote Total:

Luckylee (5): blab (#876), Vira (#877), Dermon (#879), Chocolate Pi (#881), Luckylee (#884)
Dermon (3): Luckylee (#700), Zeitgeist (#707), Prophylaxis (#790)

Abstaining: Fontisian, Moridin

=-=-=-=-=-=

Fontisian voted Zeitgeist (#662)
Fontisian unvoted Zeitgeist (#669)
Chocolate Pi voted Dermon (#692)
Vira voted Dermon (#695)
Luckylee voted Dermon (#700)
Zeitgeist voted Dermon (#707)
Prophylaxis voted Dermon (#790)
Chocolate Pi unvoted Dermon (#807)
Blab voted Luckylee (#876)
Vira voted Luckylee (#877) | Previous Target: Dermon
Dermon voted Luckylee (#879)
Chocolate Pi voted Luckylee (#881)
Luckylee voted Luckylee (#884)

 

Such Filler
Much Evil
Wooow

 

Night is over!

Chocolate Pi has died!

Day will last for the next ~60 hours.

 

Lynch Vote Chocolate Pi

Oh wait...

 

So knowing Luckylee is scum, would he have lied about Bill Door's alignment?

 

I am not scum. Haven't you looked at the tags?

 

Alright, Moridin is now even likelier town given that scum could have won the game by killing scum!Moridin and assasinating everyone else. (Well, not with a Rubicon/LuckyLee/Moridin/Bill team, but that doesn't make sense voting record wise.)

Dermon: Maybe-probably( 65%). If Zeit survives the night we find out, if he doesn't we can at least townfirm him.

Vira: Do you think LuckyLee's self-lynch makes Dermon more likely to be town?

Fontisian: Tell me what you think about my unaligned pairs.

Moridin: Which scumteam do you think is the most likely?

Lynch LuckyLee

 

Woah woah. Don't lynch me yet, lets negotiate. I may have made some bad decisions, but I'm sure we can come to a mutually beneficial agreement.

 

@Dermon: actually, let me rescind that and think about it again

 

Don't ignore me D8

I'll offer my other scum mates for amnesty!

 

I'm placing my chips at a Luckylee/font/Rubicon/Bill Door scumteam, now.

I confirm I am the DOB.

 

Hey Proph, can you look at my unaligned pairs?

Bill was probably scum, if I think it through correctly and I think that team is likelier than: Lucky/Rubicon/Dermon/Bill

 

You guys are hella rude, ignoring me. Don't I get a fair trial or something?

 

I don't get your unaligned pairs - am I missing something? I mostly just see scumteam speculations and stuff, without reasoning.

---------- Post automerged at 09:16 PM ---------- Previous post was at 09:14 PM ----------

Though I should have expected that townslip up to come from Luckylee; I detailed it a bit in the Battle School chat and Rubicon picked up on it.

 

So you think I would do the same thing as you, Proph?

I'm honored and stuff, bro.

 

Mainly I'm lazy and I think we have the game solved after we lynch the Luckylee/font pile. I mean, I feel bad for letting the game be solved by ChocoPi (who really did all the work) but we can lynch through that pile and re-evaluate if the game doesn't end there.

---------- Post automerged at 09:28 PM ---------- Previous post was at 09:19 PM ----------

Vote Luckylee

font, is there any reason you didn't follow up on the ~four or so questions you've asked me since I've replaced in, and I purposefully did not answer?